Short Battle of Syraq SITREP 7: Syrian Arab Army (SAA) Receiving Pantsir Air Defense Systems

To further discourage any efforts at piecemeal American air strikes on Assad government forces that might try to skirt Russia’s air defenses, the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) is being supplied with Pantsir air defense systems. These modern SAMs are designed to strike low to medium altitude aircraft and can engage drones or ground hugging planes and helicopters with rapid fire, high caliber cannons. As the Russians have made crystal clear, there will likely be no more Deir Ez Zor ‘oopsie’ incidents in which the U.S. bombs the SAA and then pretends it was trying to hit ISIS. Summarizing the situation and the emptyness of Washington’s threats, Dmitry Orlov of the Club Orlov blog has written:

The Americans are now without national leadership (neither Obama, nor Clinton, nor Trump qualify), without a plan (Plan B for Syria is no plan at all), and being carefully corralled and thwarted by other nations, which realize that even in its senescence and decrepitude the US remains dangerous. In response, the US will no doubt continue to make minor mischief around the world, continuing to try to make use of “terrorism by proxy” while periodically hurting itself and claiming that it was all the terrorists’ fault in order to be able to play the victim. These efforts are likely to be as self-defeating as the previous ones, but some of them may accidentally get out of hand and trigger a wider conflict.

And so I feel it safe to conclude that the largest remaining possible cause for a major war between the US and Russia is yet another American “Oops!” However, Russian diplomats, foreign policy experts and military men are consummate professionals, and are dedicated to preventing just such an accident. They remain involved in negotiations with the American side on multiple levels, keeping channels of communication open at all times. Although some people somehow got the erroneous notion that the US has broken off diplomatic relations with Russia, what in fact has happened is that the US has suspended bilateral negotiations with Russia over Syria, while multilateral efforts continue.

But Americans shouldn’t labor under the misapprehension that the Russians will remain infinitely accommodating. Recetly, the Russians took the Americans to the woodshed over their “accidental” bombing of Syrian troops at Deir-ez-Zor, which was clearly coordinated with ISIS, who went on attack immediately after the airstrike. This incident, which was a clear breach of the cease fire agreement, prompted the Russians to label the Americans with a particularly hurtful Russian word: ”недоговороспособные”—incapable of honoring an agreement. Some observers thought that the Deir-ez-Zor fiasco signaled that the Obama administration was no longer in control of the Pentagon, which was now running around like a headless chicken around a barnyard. This claim was bolstered when the Americans, or their terrorist proxies, then bombed a humanitarian convoy and attempted to pin the blame on the Russians.

— http://cluborlov.blogspot.in/2016/10/oopsa-world-war.html?m=1

Southfront has been providing outstanding coverage of the rapid fall of multiple jihadi strong points around Aleppo to the SAA’s assaults. The news that some of the last jihadi pockets in the Damascus suburbs are surrendering and accepting safe passage with their families to Al-Nusra/takfiri territory in Idlib certainly won’t inspire the ‘moderate rebels’ left in Aleppo to fight on to the death. Nor will the news that the Russian aircraft carrying heavy missile cruiser Admiral Kuznetsov is passing through the English Channel with its escorts en route to Gibraltar and the Med encourage the jihadists that the relentless Russian bombing will stop any time soon due to the outcry in (post)Western media against Moscow.

To counter propaganda claims that the Russian Air Force (RuAF) is always bombing the last hospital in east Aleppo, ANNA News is releasing video interviews with the real Syrian civil defense and doctors at the restored al-Kinda Hospital in the government controlled part of the city, where the terrorists massacred wounded soldiers and medical staff alike months ago:

German blogger Moon of Alabama (MoA) summarizes the increasingly hopeless tactical situation of the jihadists in east Aleppo thus, and Washington’s attempts to rebrand Al-Qaeda allies as ‘moderates’ in order to preserve them for fighting Assad another day:

In other siege areas where the rebels gave up to the Syrian government the numbers of people coming out of them were much smaller than the original inhabitants. The numbers were also smaller than all prior estimates. Daraya, near Damascus, originally had some 80,000 inhabitants. The numbers of besieged people in Daraya the UN had given were variously between several ten-thousands and down to 8,000. When the evacuation of Daraya started the Syrian army estimated that 800-1,200 fighters and 4,000 civilians would come out. In the end the numbers of leaving fighters was some 600-700 and less than 2,000 civilians turned up to leave. The area was searched and all had left.

Based on the Daraya numbers and those of other sieges in Syria there are probably no more than 4-5,000 fighters and some 3-5 civilians per fighter, i.e. their immediate families, in east-Aleppo. The real total could easily be as low as 20,000.

But even then the al-Qaeda fighters will be still be the majority of the “rebels” in the city. It is implausible that their total number is now less than the number which were earlier announced to enter as reinforcement. The official spinmasters talking to Reuters obviously want the numbers to be very, very low to keep the al-Qaeda fighters unharmed and in place for future operations.

I am confident that neither the Syrian nor the Russian military will be a sucker for such bullshit. That role is reserved for “western” journalist and the the usual lobbyist-“analysts” who are employed by Qatar, the U.S. and other Jihadi sponsors.

— http://www.moonofalabama.org/2016/10/number-of-al-qaeda-fighters-in-east-aleppo-defined-down-to-three.html#more

On other fronts, the SAA’s elite Tiger Forces are attacking jihadist held towns along the Hama-Aleppo highway, seizing gas fields from the Islamic State. The renewed SAA assaults on ISIS positions come as Iraqi and Iranian media report the U.S. is pressuring Baghdad to give safe passage for ISIS terrorists from Mosul in northern Iraq to ISIS-held territory in Syria:

In conclusion, over one year after Moscow directly intervened in Syria at the behest of the Assad government, the Syrian war is far from over, but the ‘moderate’ jihadists and ISIS are in retreat. Russian President Vladimir Putin and his commanders have won a great victory for the forces of non-sectarian if not secular governance, and put an end to Exceptionalistan’s regime change rampage in the region.

What happens next — whether the Anglo-Globalist Empire accepts defeat or doubles down via military means — may depend on the American voter.

6 comments

  1. James, from elsewhere..it was new to me

    But we might ask – How would things turn out in such a war, assuming it somehow remained conventional ? – – On paper, the U.S. Navy looks formidable. It dwarfs the navies of all other nations in terms of the number of major combatant ships. But, it seems that there is something going on below the surface in the Navy. (And this seems to be going on with all the U.S. military services.) A social agenda is being pushed which harms the combat effectiveness of the military, and this comes from the very top – from those in the White House.

    Sec of the Navy Mabus is left leaning. He has pushed such ‘genius’ schemes as use of ‘green’ bio-fuels for the fleet – at a tremendous increase in costs. He promoted a pencil pushing staff officer to command all the US Navy in Europe. This new admiral is imminently qualified, – after all she is a woman and is black. She has absolutely no experience commanding combatant ships. – – Mabus has ordered that the traditional titles such as corpsman, engineman, yoeman, machinist mate, etc be dropped from Navy use. Sailors wear these titles proudly; they worked hard to get them. But now they will all go by the ‘non-sexist’ title of ‘sailor’. Morale suffers. Yes, these are the important ‘issues’ on which the ‘leadership’ focuses today. There’s much more. I provide links to a few articles below. – –

    Of course, Mabus is highly qualified to be the head of the U.S. Navy. He served in the Navy . . . . in a very minor position, for a whole freakin’ 2 years ! He did help get Obama re-elected, however.

    One may call this ‘political correctness ‘ gone mad. Perhaps. – – But, I recall years ago during the Clinton administration,when the news came out that many of America’s most sensitive military secrets were turned over to the Chinese. This news may have come out on late Fri or the weekend. I don’t recall which. – In either case, I thought it would be prominently in the headlines on the coming Monday. I was wrong. The story got little mainstream ‘news’ attention. It was buried in the back pages.

    Some have suggested that America was used to build and finance the structure for a ‘New World Order’, but America must first be taken down before that order may become predominant. So, actions which may seem ‘stupid’ or ‘p.c.’ – are actually calculated to bring us down. Used to think such conspiracy theories were preposterous. Not any more. It is wrong that good, loyal people serving in the military will likely be the first to suffer from all this. –

    http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/3462659/posts

    http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2016/05/15/can-the-us-military-afford-to-run-on-biofuels.aspx

    http://www.allgov.com/news/appointments-and-resignations/secretary-of-the-navy-who-is-ray-mabus?news=838483

    http://nypost.com/2016/10/15/us-navy-gets-pc-makeover-while-its-ships-fall-apart/

    1. Jane,

      Agreed, the weakening of the U.S. military via PC is deliberate.

      Personally, I do not see any direct conflict between the U.S. and Russia staying conventional for long. Yes the U.S. has a big advantage in terms of the firepower it could attack Syria with, but one has to remember NATO is at a huge disdvantage in any war fought on Russia’s doorstep or nearby in the Baltics, Ukraine and I would say as far west as Moldova/Transnistria. Because the U.S. is so dependent on air and sea power whereas Russia leans on its ground forces and nuclear deterrent, including an arsenal of more tactical nukes and delivery systems than the U.S. can field at the moment, I do not think the American military or most of NATO with the possible exception of the Poles are psychologically prepared for the huge casualties they’d take. But from the interview with Putin adviser Sergey Karaganov, I would say Russia’s conventional deterrence strategy leans heavily on missiles (what Gen. Breedlove called ‘A2D2’ area denial) both long range SAMs and of the super and even hypersonic carrier/AEGIS ship killing variety. Moscow has no intent of trying to occupy any ground it does not absolutely need, which means the Baltics may as well be isolated by land rather than invaded, while the main target of any Ukrainian operation would not be Kiev, Kharkov or other cities but to destroy as much of the UAF and kill or capture as many NATO advisers/soldiers in the enormous pocket east of the Dniepr with them as possible. Similar war planning and simulations were also demonstrated in the Kavkaz 2016 exercises where I believe the Russians put on display their capability to land at the mouth of the Dniester, isolate if not occupy Odessa, and march up the valley to destroy a U.S.-backed Romanian-Ukrainian force blockading Transnistria and warn off the U.S. with the threat of heavy casualties.

      http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/interview-with-putin-foreign-policy-advisor-sergey-karaganov-a-1102629.html

      1. In other words, the conventional military thinking is that Russia will unleash tactical nukes first due to its lack of long range power projection capabilities (only one carrier etc) and inferiority in quantity if not always quality in ships and aircraft. I actually think it’s probably the opposite given the U.S. aversion to heavy casualties there being no real political will or stomach in this country for a bloody war and the police state the globalists would be required to impose under wartime cover, which is their real aim anyway not dying in a Russian Sarmat ICBM strike on the bunkers they thought would save them under Denver Intl Airport!

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